Setups vs the Record
One chart is an example. A denominator is evidence. Five setups, each replayed tick by tick, then measured against every occurrence in the record.
01Toxic flow (VPIN)
freeToxic-flow (VPIN) spikes feel decisive. Replay one, then see what actually followed across every occurrence: a warning to tighten risk, not a buy or sell.
02Liquidation cascades
freeWhen liquidations arrive clustered rather than scattered, forced selling concentrates. Replay a violent one, then see the real distribution of what follows a...
03Candle patterns vs the record
freeThe textbook bullish reversal: sweep the lows, reclaim them. Replay a picture-perfect one that ran 28%, then meet the denominator across 41,000 of them. This...
04Funding and positioning
freeWhen funding is pinned at its extreme minutes before settlement, one side is paying dearly to hold. Replay one, then see why the forward returns skew hard ag...
05Reading the tape
freeTwo-thirds of the tape lifting the ask, with whale-sized prints carrying it, feels like a launch. Replay one on a major, then see why aggressive buying is no...